SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Watford |
41.22% ( 1.33) | 25.07% ( 0.42) | 33.71% ( -1.74) |
| Both teams to score 56.99% ( -1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( -2.25) | 46.44% ( 2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( -2.15) | 68.72% ( 2.16) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.33) | 22.45% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.01% ( -0.5) | 55.99% ( 0.5) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( -2.07) | 26.52% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% ( -2.84) | 61.71% ( 2.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.71% |
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