SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
53.66% ( 0.26) | 23.46% ( -0.06) | 22.88% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( 0.05) | 46.23% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( 0.05) | 68.52% ( -0.04) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( 0.11) | 17.16% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( 0.2) | 47.41% ( -0.19) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.61% ( -0.15) | 34.39% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.9% ( -0.16) | 71.1% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 22.88% |
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