SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Bosnia-Herzegovina |
67.59% ( -0.2) | 19.17% ( 0.23) | 13.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.84% ( -1.09) | 43.16% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.44% ( -1.09) | 65.55% ( 1.09) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.21% ( -0.37) | 11.78% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.02% ( -0.8) | 36.98% ( 0.79) |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.14% ( -0.73) | 43.85% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.99% ( -0.61) | 80% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Bosnia-Herzegovina |
| 2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.37)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.5% Total : 67.58% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.17% | 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.24% |
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