SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
49.37% ( -0.02) | 28.72% ( 0.68) | 21.91% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 39.02% ( -2.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.28% ( -2.46) | 65.72% ( 2.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.61% ( -1.74) | 84.39% ( 1.73) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -1.17) | 27.1% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( -1.55) | 62.48% ( 1.54) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.53% ( -2.15) | 46.47% ( 2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.91% ( -1.7) | 82.08% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 16.44% ( 0.93) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.64% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.59% ( 1.1)2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.37% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.91% |
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