SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.2%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Sarmiento |
52.67% ( 0.11) | 27.77% ( 0.11) | 19.56% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 38.5% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.53) | 64.87% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.2% ( -0.37) | 83.8% ( 0.37) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( -0.19) | 25.12% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% ( -0.26) | 59.83% ( 0.26) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.43% ( -0.58) | 48.57% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.35% ( -0.42) | 83.64% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 16.85% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 52.66% | 0-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.36% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.56% |
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