Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Jul 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente
0 - 1
Tucuman

Barreto (31'), Elizalde (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lotti (1')
Ruiz (49'), Acosta (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Independiente 1-2 Atletico Tucuman

Although Independiente emerged victorious in the most recent meeting between the two sides, they have continued to struggle in the league this season, while Atletico Tucuman have flourished, and we think the visitors will maintain their unbeaten league record by clinching a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
54.02% ( -0.05)	26.48% ( 0.02)	19.49% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 41.38% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.93% (

-0.03)

61.07% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.95% (

-0.02)

81.04% (

0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

-0.03)

22.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

-0.05)

56.57% (

0.05)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.63% (

0.02)

46.37% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.99% (

0.02)

82.01% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Independiente 54.01%

Atletico Tucuman 19.49%

Draw 26.48%

Independiente	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.64% 2-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 54.01%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 19.49%