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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
AT

Independiente
0 - 1
Tucuman


Barreto (31'), Elizalde (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lotti (1')
Ruiz (49'), Acosta (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Independiente
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Tuesday, July 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 1-2 Atletico Tucuman

Although Independiente emerged victorious in the most recent meeting between the two sides, they have continued to struggle in the league this season, while Atletico Tucuman have flourished, and we think the visitors will maintain their unbeaten league record by clinching a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
54.02% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 26.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 19.49% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)61.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)81.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.84% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)56.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)46.37% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)82.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 54.01%
    Atletico Tucuman 19.49%
    Draw 26.48%
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.64%
2-0 @ 11.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Independiente
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Rosario
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Independiente
Sunday, July 10 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-3 Platense
Tuesday, July 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 3-1 Independiente
Monday, June 27 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Estudiantes
Tuesday, June 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Tuesday, July 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Aldosivi 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, July 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, July 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, June 28 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, June 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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