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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 24, 2021 at 10.45pm UK
Monumental Jose Fierro
I

Tucuman
2 - 0
Independiente

Mussis (86'), Tesuri (87')
Campos (44'), Tesuri (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ortega (45+2'), Ostachuk (56')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Atletico Tucuman and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente
29.38%27.68%42.94%
Both teams to score 47.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66%58.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.05%78.95%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48%35.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71%72.28%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09%26.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77%62.22%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 29.38%
    Independiente 42.93%
    Draw 27.67%
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 6.72%
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.38%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 12.54%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.93%

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