Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
