SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
46.08% ( 0.06) | 29.67% ( 0.01) | 24.25% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 38.94% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.05% ( -0.08) | 66.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.77% ( -0.06) | 85.23% ( 0.05) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( -0.01) | 29.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( -0.01) | 65.37% ( 0.01) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.15% ( -0.13) | 44.85% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.19% ( -0.1) | 80.81% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 16.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.34% Total : 46.07% | 0-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.66% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.24% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
