Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.04) 
