Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Instituto |
45.3% ( 0.35) | 29.33% ( -0.1) | 25.37% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 40.52% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.58% ( 0.17) | 65.42% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.81% ( 0.12) | 84.18% ( -0.12) |
Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% ( 0.27) | 29.04% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% ( 0.34) | 64.95% ( -0.34) |
Instituto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.11% ( -0.13) | 42.89% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.8% ( -0.11) | 79.2% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Instituto |
1-0 @ 15.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.06% Total : 25.36% |
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