SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Barracas Central |
55.26% ( 0) | 26.83% ( 0.23) | 17.92% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 38.4% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.29% ( -0.91) | 63.7% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.03% ( -0.65) | 82.97% ( 0.66) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -0.39) | 23.45% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( -0.57) | 57.46% ( 0.58) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.16% ( -0.83) | 49.84% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.45% ( -0.59) | 84.55% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.95% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.28% Total : 55.25% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.36% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.92% |
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