SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Instituto |
52.58% ( -0.65) | 26.23% ( 0.13) | 21.2% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.41% ( 0.05) | 58.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.85% ( 0.04) | 79.15% ( -0.04) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( -0.26) | 22.42% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( -0.39) | 55.94% ( 0.39) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.97% ( 0.59) | 43.03% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( 0.49) | 79.32% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.57% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.2% |
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