SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Instituto |
29.16% ( 0.03) | 28.55% ( 0.02) | 42.28% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.64% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.58% ( -0.05) | 61.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.7% ( -0.04) | 81.3% ( 0.04) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% ( -0.01) | 37.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.85% ( -0.01) | 74.14% ( 0) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.05) | 28.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( -0.06) | 64.55% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.16% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 13.38% 0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 42.27% |
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