SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 62.07%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.07% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 3-1 (7.42%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New England Revolution |
62.07% ( -2.88) | 18.85% ( 0.74) | 19.07% ( 2.14) |
| Both teams to score 64.91% ( 1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.23% ( 0.17) | 29.77% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.09% ( 0.21) | 50.91% ( -0.21) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.65% ( -0.6) | 9.35% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.5% ( -1.44) | 31.5% ( 1.44) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( 2.25) | 28.4% ( -2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( 2.74) | 64.16% ( -2.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.23)1-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.45)4-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.26)5-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.11% Total : 62.07% | 1-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.34)0-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.41% Total : 18.85% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.29)Other @ 4.08% Total : 19.07% |
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