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Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
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Inter Miami
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Messi (26', 30'), Suarez (90+8')
Aviles (32'), Martino (33'), Suarez (75'), Messi (87'), Busquets (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Uhre (2')
Elliott (56'), Sullivan (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Philadelphia Union

It does not seem to matter who is in the lineup for Miami, they always find a way to get the job done, and we do not foresee that changing against a Philly side that have been uncharacteristically inconsistent this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 3-1 (6.74%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
55.53% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 20.61% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.33% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.38% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)11.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 55.53%
    Philadelphia Union 23.86%
    Draw 20.61%
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.4%
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47%
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-3 @ 1.12%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 55.53%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.99%
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 23.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-2 Inter Miami
Wednesday, August 14 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-3 Toronto
Friday, August 9 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, August 4 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Puebla 0-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, August 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Colorado (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 25 at 9.30pm in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 22 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Mazatlan (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia
Wednesday, August 14 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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