SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Inter Miami |
59.1% ( -3.17) | 22.72% ( 1.31) | 18.17% ( 1.87) |
| Both teams to score 49.49% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% ( -2.41) | 49.12% ( 2.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( -2.22) | 71.19% ( 2.22) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( -1.85) | 16.27% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( -3.47) | 45.82% ( 3.47) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( 0.84) | 40.89% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.54% ( 0.75) | 77.46% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.32)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.43)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.51)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.03% Total : 59.09% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.63)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.17% |
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