SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
43.85% ( -0.7) | 24.24% ( -0.07) | 31.91% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.81% ( 0.63) | 43.19% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.41% ( 0.62) | 65.59% ( -0.62) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( -0.04) | 19.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.03% ( -0.06) | 51.97% ( 0.07) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( 0.79) | 26.04% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( 1.05) | 61.08% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.91% |
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