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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.37%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
58.37% ( -0.47) | 20.26% ( -0.06) | 21.36% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 63.46% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.73% ( 1.03) | 33.27% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.96% ( 1.17) | 55.03% ( -1.18) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.69% ( 0.19) | 11.31% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.04% ( 0.42) | 35.96% ( -0.43) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( 1.06) | 28.44% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% ( 1.32) | 64.2% ( -1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.3)1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.31% Total : 21.36% |
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