SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
61.44% ( -0.11) | 22.39% ( 0.02) | 16.17% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.61% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.08% ( 0.08) | 50.92% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.21% ( 0.07) | 72.79% ( -0.07) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( -0) | 16.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.48% ( -0.01) | 45.52% ( 0.02) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.56% ( 0.17) | 44.44% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.52% ( 0.14) | 80.48% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 61.43% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.17% |
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