SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fenerbahce |
26.63% ( 0.26) | 23.42% ( 0.11) | 49.94% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( -0.27) | 42.59% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( -0.27) | 65% ( 0.27) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.05) | 29.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% ( 0.07) | 65.31% ( -0.07) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( -0.24) | 17.18% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.55% ( -0.42) | 47.44% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.63% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.94% |
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