SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Panevezys win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Jagiellonia Bialystok in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Panevezys |
57.52% ( 0.22) | 22.52% ( -0.1) | 19.96% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% ( 0.26) | 45.74% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% ( 0.25) | 68.06% ( -0.25) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 0.16) | 15.64% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( 0.31) | 44.65% ( -0.31) |
| Panevezys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( 0.03) | 36.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.25% ( 0.03) | 73.74% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Panevezys |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 19.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
