Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
31.66% ( 0.46) | 26.36% ( -0.01) | 41.98% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.49% ( 0.18) | 52.51% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.82% ( 0.16) | 74.18% ( -0.15) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.17% ( 0.41) | 30.83% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.9% ( 0.48) | 67.1% ( -0.47) |
Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( -0.15) | 24.74% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.7% ( -0.21) | 59.3% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.66% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.98% |
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