SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
51.69% ( 0.39) | 21.73% ( 0.06) | 26.58% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 64.6% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.42% ( -0.68) | 34.57% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.49% ( -0.77) | 56.51% ( 0.77) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.32% ( -0.12) | 13.68% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.11% ( -0.23) | 40.89% ( 0.23) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( -0.67) | 25.16% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( -0.93) | 59.88% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.88% Total : 51.69% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.58% |
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