SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Telstar |
39.82% ( 0) | 23.66% ( 0.03) | 36.51% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.75% ( -0.14) | 39.25% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.41% ( -0.15) | 61.58% ( 0.15) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.06) | 20.02% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -0.09) | 52.22% ( 0.09) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( -0.08) | 21.62% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.27% ( -0.12) | 54.73% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.51% |
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