Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-0.67) 
0.15) 
