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J1 League | Gameweek 13
May 14, 2023 at 5.30am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
2 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Suzuki (29'), Chinen (84')
Doi (67'), Sano (88'), Pituca (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 6 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 36%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawNagoya Grampus
36% (-0.285 -0.28) 28.54% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 35.47% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 46.21% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.8% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)60.2% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.61% (-0.229 -0.23)80.39% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (-0.333 -0.33)31.85% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (-0.383 -0.38)68.29% (0.383 0.38)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)32.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)68.68% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 36%
    Nagoya Grampus 35.47%
    Draw 28.53%
Kashima AntlersDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.25% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 11.62% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.59% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 4-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-2 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-5 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 23 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Urawa
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League


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