J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 at 11.30am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
We said: Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 FC Tokyo
While FC Tokyo have enjoyed the stronger campaign thus far, momentum may have slightly shifted between these two teams after last weekend's results, and with renewed confidence from a resounding return to winning ways, we back Kashiwa Reysol to take a share of the spoils on home turf.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.
| Result |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | FC Tokyo |
39.6% ( 0.13) | 26.85% ( 0) | 33.54% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( -0.04) |
| 45.96% ( -0.04) | 54.03% ( 0.03) |
| 24.53% ( -0.03) | 75.46% ( 0.02) |
| 73.3% ( 0.06) | 26.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.04% ( 0.08) | 61.95% ( -0.08) |
| 69.66% ( -0.11) | 30.33% ( 0.1) |
