SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kasimpasa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
40.28% ( 0.12) | 23.92% ( 0.01) | 35.8% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( -0.09) | 40.63% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( -0.09) | 63.01% ( 0.09) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( 0.01) | 20.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.17% ( 0.02) | 52.82% ( -0.03) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -0.11) | 22.61% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% ( -0.16) | 56.23% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.8% |
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