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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
Jun 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
NEF Stadyumu

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Kasimpasa

Lobzhanidze (14'), Diagne (67', 82')
Bertolacci (34'), Feghouli (74'), Diagne (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ozcan (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, June 3 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-5 Besiktas
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-2 Kasimpasa

Goals are normally a guarantee when Karagumruk and Kasimpasa butt heads, as the net has rippled 20 times in the last five meetings between the two sides, and a similarly entertaining contest could be on the cards here as both teams play with the shackles off. The Diagne-inspired hosts often make up for their defensive shortcomings with potent attacking play, but Ozdes's side are ending the season in impressive fashion away from home, and we can picture both managers happily accepting a point before preparations commence for the 2023-24 season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
48.32% (0.329 0.33) 23.25% (-0.16 -0.16) 28.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.65% (0.454 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (0.653 0.65)40.46% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (0.667 0.67)62.83% (-0.662 -0.66)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (0.375 0.38)16.98% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91% (0.658 0.66)47.09% (-0.653 -0.65)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.221 0.22)26.95% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.286 0.29)62.29% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 48.32%
    Kasimpasa 28.42%
    Draw 23.24%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, June 3 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-0 Kayserispor
Tuesday, May 30 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 4-1 Karagumruk
Monday, May 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Adana Demirspor
Wednesday, May 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-1 Antalyaspor
Saturday, April 29 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Karagumruk
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-5 Besiktas
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-3 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, May 30 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-0 Istanbulspor
Saturday, May 20 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, May 16 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-2 Konyaspor
Sunday, April 23 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig


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