Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
Jun 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
NEF Stadyumu
We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-2 Kasimpasa
Goals are normally a guarantee when Karagumruk and Kasimpasa butt heads, as the net has rippled 20 times in the last five meetings between the two sides, and a similarly entertaining contest could be on the cards here as both teams play with the shackles off.
The Diagne-inspired hosts often make up for their defensive shortcomings with potent attacking play, but Ozdes's side are ending the season in impressive fashion away from home, and we can picture both managers happily accepting a point before preparations commence for the 2023-24 season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Kasimpasa |
48.32% ( 0.33) | 23.25% ( -0.16) | 28.42% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.65% ( 0.45) |
| 59.54% ( 0.65) | 40.46% ( -0.65) |
| 37.16% ( 0.67) | 62.83% ( -0.66) |
| 83.02% ( 0.38) | 16.98% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.66) | 47.09% ( -0.65) |
| 73.05% ( 0.22) | 26.95% ( -0.22) |
