Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
Result | ||
Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Kasimpasa |
48.32% ( 0.33) | 23.25% ( -0.16) | 28.42% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 60.65% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.54% ( 0.65) | 40.46% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.16% ( 0.67) | 62.83% ( -0.66) |
Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.02% ( 0.38) | 16.98% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.91% ( 0.66) | 47.09% ( -0.65) |
Kasimpasa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% ( 0.22) | 26.95% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% ( 0.29) | 62.29% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Kasimpasa |
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.42% |
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