SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
39.34% ( -0.39) | 25.02% ( 0.45) | 35.64% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.57% ( -1.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( -2.11) | 45.85% ( 2.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( -2.03) | 68.17% ( 2.04) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( -1.12) | 23.13% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.01% ( -1.67) | 56.99% ( 1.67) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( -1.01) | 25.11% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.19% ( -1.42) | 59.81% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.64% |
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