SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Fylde |
48.43% ( 1.03) | 24.52% ( -0.18) | 27.06% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% ( 0.17) | 47.13% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% ( 0.16) | 69.36% ( -0.16) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0.5) | 19.52% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% ( 0.81) | 51.41% ( -0.81) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -0.56) | 31.39% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( -0.66) | 67.76% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.43% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.06% |
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