SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Gateshead |
38.75% ( 0.05) | 25.49% ( 0.18) | 35.76% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.05% ( -0.84) | 47.95% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.87% ( -0.77) | 70.13% ( 0.78) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( -0.35) | 24.37% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% ( -0.5) | 58.78% ( 0.5) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( -0.52) | 26.02% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.95% ( -0.7) | 61.05% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.35% Total : 35.76% |
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