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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
15.77% ( -0.01) | 19.93% ( 0.01) | 64.3% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( -0.04) | 41.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.48% ( -0.04) | 63.52% ( 0.04) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% ( -0.03) | 39.03% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.25% ( -0.03) | 75.75% ( 0.03) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( -0.01) | 12.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.37% ( -0.03) | 37.63% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 15.78% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.93% | 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.98% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.92% 1-4 @ 3.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 64.3% |
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