SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
48.79% ( 0.13) | 25.1% ( -0.03) | 26.11% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( 0.07) | 50.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.78% ( 0.06) | 72.21% ( -0.06) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( 0.08) | 20.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.82% ( 0.13) | 53.18% ( -0.12) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( -0.04) | 33.81% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( -0.04) | 70.47% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.11% |
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