Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
