SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyrgyzstan win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Malaysia had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyrgyzstan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Malaysia win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Malaysia |
47.36% ( -1.58) | 25.34% ( 0.43) | 27.3% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( -1) | 50.42% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( -0.89) | 72.36% ( 0.89) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( -1.08) | 21.3% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% ( -1.7) | 54.25% ( 1.7) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% ( 0.39) | 32.93% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( 0.43) | 69.51% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Malaysia |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.3% |
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