SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Belgrano |
53.97% ( -0.32) | 25.61% ( 0.04) | 20.43% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.8% ( 0.15) | 57.21% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.94% ( 0.12) | 78.06% ( -0.12) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( -0.07) | 21.26% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.82% ( -0.11) | 54.18% ( 0.11) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.94% ( 0.39) | 43.06% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.66% ( 0.33) | 79.34% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.17% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.43% |
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