SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Lanus |
39.49% ( -0.11) | 29.77% ( 0.16) | 30.74% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.1% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.15% ( -0.49) | 64.85% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.22% ( -0.34) | 83.78% ( 0.34) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.94% ( -0.32) | 32.06% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.47% ( -0.37) | 68.53% ( 0.37) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( -0.3) | 38.04% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.2% ( -0.29) | 74.8% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.76% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.66% Total : 30.73% |
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