SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.64%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 27.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Belgrano |
42.64% ( -0.47) | 29.83% ( 0) | 27.52% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 40.64% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.03% ( 0.17) | 65.96% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.44% ( 0.12) | 84.56% ( -0.12) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( -0.18) | 30.78% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( -0.22) | 67.05% ( 0.22) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.71% ( 0.51) | 41.28% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( 0.44) | 77.81% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.97% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.82% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.24% Total : 27.52% |
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