SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 28.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Cruzeiro |
41.26% ( 1.98) | 29.79% ( 0.19) | 28.95% ( -2.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.42% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.65% ( -1.11) | 65.35% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.86% ( -0.78) | 84.13% ( 0.78) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( 0.61) | 31.26% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( 0.7) | 67.61% ( -0.7) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( -2.34) | 39.74% ( 2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.59% ( -2.23) | 76.41% ( 2.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Cruzeiro |
| 1-0 @ 14.44% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.61)2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.48)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.42% Total : 28.94% |
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