SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 41.12%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 28.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Lanus |
41.12% ( -0.7) | 30.15% ( 0.1) | 28.73% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 40.45% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.51% ( -0.09) | 66.49% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.08% ( -0.06) | 84.92% ( 0.07) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( -0.46) | 31.94% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.61% ( -0.53) | 68.39% ( 0.54) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.43% ( 0.45) | 40.57% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.83% ( 0.41) | 77.17% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.78% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.14% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 28.72% |
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