SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lugano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Lugano |
29.79% ( 0.08) | 23.3% ( 0.03) | 46.91% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( -0.11) | 39.81% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( -0.12) | 62.17% ( 0.12) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( -0) | 25.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( -0.01) | 60.64% ( 0.01) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( -0.09) | 17.27% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.4% ( -0.15) | 47.6% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.79% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.91% |
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