SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
34.28% ( 0.03) | 24.34% ( 0.06) | 41.38% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.71% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( -0.31) | 42.95% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( -0.3) | 65.35% ( 0.3) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( -0.13) | 24.52% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( -0.18) | 58.99% ( 0.18) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( -0.18) | 20.88% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% ( -0.27) | 53.58% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.38% |
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