Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
