SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Lugano |
38.66% ( -4.64) | 23.32% ( 0.09) | 38.02% ( 4.56) |
| Both teams to score 64.11% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.55% ( 0.38) | 37.45% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.32% ( 0.4) | 59.68% ( -0.4) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( -1.86) | 19.78% ( 1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.16% ( -3.11) | 51.84% ( 3.12) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 2.5) | 20.08% ( -2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( 3.85) | 52.32% ( -3.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.52)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.76)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.58)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.61)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.36)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.33)Other @ 3.22% Total : 38.66% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.59) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.64)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.62)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.52)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.36)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.27)Other @ 3.13% Total : 38.02% |
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