A run of 17 games without a win against Lazio in front of a crowd means Udinese are up against it here, while a tally of just three wins all season will provide even less comfort for the visitors.
Despite a poor showing in midweek, and back-to-back league defeats, Lazio will be overriding favourites here, and should take the three points, with all focus now on domestic matters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.25) 
-0.42) 
