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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Bayern Munich |
29.58% ( 0.34) | 24.57% ( 0.13) | 45.85% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.38) | 45.77% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.36) | 68.08% ( 0.36) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 0.04) | 28.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( 0.05) | 64.71% ( -0.05) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.35) | 20.06% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% ( -0.57) | 52.28% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.85% |
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