SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for LDU Quito in this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Botafogo |
40.2% ( -0.09) | 26.99% ( 0.02) | 32.81% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% ( -0.07) | 54.71% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( -0.06) | 76.03% ( 0.06) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.09) | 26.68% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( -0.11) | 61.94% ( 0.12) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( 0.01) | 31.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.51% ( 0.01) | 67.49% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| LDU Quito | Draw | Botafogo |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
