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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | LDU Quito |
45.15% ( -0.37) | 25.45% ( -0.2) | 29.4% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.32% ( 1.11) | 49.68% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( 0.99) | 71.7% ( -0.99) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( 0.3) | 21.98% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.71% ( 0.46) | 55.28% ( -0.46) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( 0.99) | 30.97% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.72% ( 1.14) | 67.27% ( -1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.4% |
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