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F
Copa Sudamericana | Final
Oct 28, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
1 - 1
LDU Quito

LDU Quito win 4-3 on penalties
Martin Lucero (48')
Alexandre (18'), Guilherme (41'), Marinho (52'), Britez (81')
FT
(aet)
Alzugaray (56')
Guerrero (36'), Piovi (99')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 LDU Quito
Wednesday, October 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We say: Fortaleza 1-0 LDU Quito

Experience may favour the Ecuadorians heading into this fixture, but Fortaleza have faced some stiff challenges domestically and at the Sudamericana this year, and we believe that will enable them to find that extra gear and eventually break down that stingy Quito backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6%).

Result
FortalezaDrawLDU Quito
60.14% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 22.76%17.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (0.012999999999998 0.01)50.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)72.78% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (0.00099999999999056 0)16.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69%46.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.5% (0.016000000000002 0.02)79.49% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 60.13%
    LDU Quito 17.1%
    Draw 22.76%
FortalezaDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.87%
2-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 6%
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, October 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Gremio
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 LDU Quito
Wednesday, October 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 LDU Quito (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-3 Nublense (4-3 pen.)
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nublense 0-1 LDU Quito
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana


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